Friday, December 30, 2011

Answers Magazine article

Today I was thrilled to receive in the mail a copy of Answers Magazine – complete with an article of photos I took at the Wave at Paria. You can check it out online at http://www.answersingenesis.org/articles/am/v7/n1/flood-currents . This was my first of what I trust will be many articles, here and elsewhere, upholding the authority of Scripture and showing the beauty of God’s creation. This one shows that, even in judgment, God brings beauty.

Monday, November 7, 2011

Wave Photos

Getting to the Wave is not easy. You have to avoid residents of the area, and the badlands make walking ... interestiong.










Also, avoid getting lost. See below for what can happen.

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Subject Located

On September 22, 2011, I had the tremendous privilege and opportunity of leading five people into The Wave at Paria.

That evening, I had the tremendous burden of following four people out.

The trip from Washington State was tremendous, with gorgeous scenery and pleasant fellowship. The three of us met the other two in Kanab, Utah, and drove 30 miles east, then turned and drove 8.2 miles on a rock (dirt?) road to the trailhead. We slept there overnight, and left at 7 AM, as soon as it was light enough to walk over the cobbles in the river bed. The five-mile walk to The Wave was also pleasant, helped by my having been there once before.

The Wave is as beautiful as ever, although the delicate sandstone ledges have been worn off by people in the last three years. I had prayed for a reflecting pool, and although there wasn’t one at the base of The Wave, there were five higher up. I can hardly wait for the slides to come back.

After lunch, we agreed to meet at 1:30 at the entrance, to begin the walk back. We should depart with about 2 quarts of water per person, and 1:30 was when we would be that low. At 1:00, one of us, who will go un-named, decided that he could visit the Second Wave, and “I will be back in 15 minutes”. Thirty minutes later, we began our search for him. Did I mention that we had three rules? 1. Take at least 1 ½ gallons of water, each, 2. Stay in sight of the group, and 3. No shortcuts.

We searched for four hours, shouting his name, using my whistle, and getting six other hikers involved. No sign of him. At least, every drop-off into the 800-foot deep the canyon had undisturbed sand at the lip, so if he went down, it was under his own power. When we were down to one quart of water each, I made the most difficult decision of my hiking career. Staying and dying of thirst would do him no good, and if we returned to the trailhead and then to Kanab, we could get a search party together.

We left after four hours of searching.

I was so tired from hiking that long that one of us had to carry my pack as well as his.

When we got to the trailhead, someone shouted that his pickup doors were open. Elation soared. Until we saw that it was some one else’s pickup.

He was still missing.

A French couple had walked past us on the trail out, and notified the Bureau of Land Management. The initial search party passed us on the dirt road. We told them everything we knew, and drove to Kanab, Utah. After notifying the other authorities, and his wife, we were told to stay in town for the night. One agency said to be at the trailhead at first light, and we could join the search. Another agency said, no, stay in Kanab and do not join the search.

They had guns so we did not argue much – that night.

The compromise the next day was that we could be at the trailhead at 10:00 AM.

The Search and Rescue helicopter, and several hiking search crews, were at the trail head when we arrived. Other hikers, including the other tourists, had left and were searching. But, the helicopter had been out twice during the night, and now the search had been on for four hours of daylight.

No sightings.

And the SAR crews told us that one hiker had already died this year, from dehydration. Couldn’t they have kept that tidbit of information to themselves?

The last two of us to see our friend carefully described where he was last seen, and pointed out on the topographic map where he was likely to be. 1. Within ½ mile of his last location, if he was injured. 2. Just past the Second Wave, and then climbed to the top of the canyon. 3. After climbing to see landmarks, he might be at the top of The Wave.

The last was the hardest place for hikers to get to, so the helicopter headed to the top of The Wave.

We briefed other search crews as they were ready to depart.

At 10:30 AM, the radio crackled with “subject located”. The SAR incident commander put the radio on that signal only, and we waited. A few minutes, later the call was “subject getting into helicopter”. We all asked, does that mean under his own power? That was quickly confirmed, and the searches were recalled while I broke down.

My only tears before that were when the French couple asked whether it was hard, abandoning our friend. I said, grimly, that I have never abandoned anyone in the field, and I am not abandoning him now. We are going to find him at the trail head, and if he isn’t there we will get together a search party. We WERE NOT abandoning him.

Now that I knew he was safe, I wept openly, and so hard that two search crews asked if I needed help. No, I was just overcome by emotion, and that emotion was good.

To Coconino County Search and Rescue: Thank you.

To the Marine on the helicopter crew: Thank you. This Navy man has a greater respect for the USMC. Long may you proudly serve.

Especially to God: Thank you. Only You could save his life. Thank You. Thank You. Thank You.

Our friend described his experience, and does not want any one to think that he was lost. He merely had trouble locating the rest of us.

He returned to The Wave fifteen minutes after he left us, but we were not there, and it was not The Wave. He decided to try the next small canyon up, and when we were not there, he tried the next canyon up.

Eventually, he went up high enough to spot land marks in the permit photographs, but from that high they were not recognizable.

It seems the he started a canyon or two too high and went still higher.

He was found on top of The Wave, about 1,000 feet above where he needed to be.

Because I broke my vow and carried more than enough food for my lunch – an extra 1 ½ pounds of smoked salmon – he did not eat his six boiled eggs for lunch. So, with some peeled prickly pear cactus fruits, he had a decent dinner, and a small breakfast. He got under a ledge to avoid the wind and increasing cold, but about 10:00 PM he began shivering. About that time, we got him on several prayer chains, and the temperature where he was went up. He stopped shivering, and got a good night’s sleep. Mind you, Kanab Utah in one direction and Page Arizona in the other direction dropped down to 40 degrees Fahrenheit and 53 degrees. Several thousand feet higher elevation, he should have been colder – about 32 degrees. A seventy year old man, even though experienced in wilderness travel, might not have survived those temperatures.

He also rationed his water, but still ran out. He found another reflecting pool, and drank about 1 ½ quarts. Those pools are only found there about every third year, and only briefly then.

So he had food, water and warmth – every thing he needed to survive, yet all three should not, naturally, have been there.

God answered our prayers, and our friend is alive!

And he is now home, working on his roof. No ill effects from drinking the surface water, no excessive tiredness, and in good health.

God is good. All the time.

Thank You, LORD Jesus Christ!

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Mom

This is an edited version of a long letter I wrote to my mother.

November 24, 2003

Dear Mom:

I'm thrilled to hear how well you are doing, recovering from your bout with West Nile Virus. The sound of your voice and your sense of humor, do me good.

I am sorry that you can't remember the week after you got out of the hospital. Several of your children came by to help both before and after, and so did several friends and neighbors. Marla was a trooper, doing more than we can ever thank her for. You have raised some fine children, and your neighbors' concern shows how much you have touched their lives.

At one point, you were feeling down and wondered whether you had really done any good in your life. I told you what a difference you have made in many people's lives. Scientists say that we never really forget anything, but that trauma doesn't let us remember truly painful things, so we forget the thing just before the pain, or for some time after. So, at some level, we do remember the events, but we block them out. I pray that in your spirit, you do remember what I said, since I believe it brought you much joy and comfort.

Mom, you gave life to thirteen children, and although one has gone on to be with the Lord, you raised twelve responsible adults, who contribute to the lives of not only their families, but the community. None of them are drunks or drug addicts, all of them work hard, and they all love you and each other. We are all good husbands or wives, good parents, and we all try to do our best. We are all better people than we would have been without you. You worked every day to feed and clothe us, you ensured we got good educations, and you loved us even when we did things we clearly should not have. You have kept us in line, you have helped keep Dad in line, and you did it all with grace and good humor. You are the best person I have ever known.

At that point, Dad said that if I kept talking, you would think you were an angel. No, Mom, not an angel, since angels are created beings, sent to minister to the saints. You are one of those saints, a human being, with the faults of a human being. But, you accepted Jesus Christ at an early age, and you have lived a Christian life. At least three of your sons and both daughters are walking with Jesus. None of us perfectly, but we will go to heaven when we die. With the next salvation, the majority of your children are destined for heaven – how many mothers can claim such an achievement?

The plaque that you hung in each house we lived in quotes Proverbs 3:6 "In all your ways acknowledge Him, and He shall direct your paths." I remember you quoting Ruth, “Where you go, I will go, where you lodge, I will lodge. Your people shall be my people, and your God, my God. Where you die, I will die, and there I shall be buried.” You said that that was your vow when you got married. Mom, you have fulfilled your vow.

Jesus said that, if we want to be a leader, we should be a servant, and if we want to be the leader of all, we should be the servant of all. You have been a servant to your husband, to every one of your children, to your friends and neighbors, to your parents, to your brothers and sisters, and to everyone within your reach.

You are the best person I have ever met.

Mom, the only complaint you had when you were sick was that you wished you could help others rather than being a burden. Mom, it was a pleasure to serve you, and in some small way to repay you for your servanthood through all these years. Mom, you have been the servant of all, and I am confident that hereafter there is laid up for you a crown of righteousness.

Whatever successes any of your children have achieved are partly due to your guidance and leadership.

I love you, and hope to see you soon.

Greg

This June, I had the opportunity to share this letter with several family and friends. I read it as my mother's eulogy. She passed away peacefully, and is now in God's presence, where God has wiped away any tears she may have.

Mom led a long and Godly, Christian life, and I can only repeat: Mom, you have fulfilled your vow, and I love you.

Friday, April 29, 2011

What Happened in Japan?

Having just watched "Nuclear Nightmare: Japan In Crisis" with Paula Zahn, I must say that Paula Zahn and the Discovery Channel got it pretty much right.

The Richter 9 earthquake, and the 47 foot tsunami after it, resulted in unbelievable damage to the Fukushima nuclear plants (all six of them).

Fukushima was designed for a 7.9 earthquake and a 30 foot tsunami.

The worst result was at plant four. The spent nuclear fuel in plant 4 was safe - until the water in the pool either splashed out drained out through a crack. The fuel overheated, reacted with the steam, and created hydrogen. The hydrogen exploded on day four - at dawn on March 15. But guess what? The hydrogen was inside the partially melted nuclear fuel. The explosion sprays nuclear material into the air, causing a "radiation spike" and the majority of the radioactive material release.

Or maybe not. Plant two found a radioactive water release, which was not stopped until April 5. But this plant's containment was suspected to be damaged on March 15 - and the water release probably started as soon as the damage occurred.

Worse, and a surprise to many in the nuclear community - the plant 2 containment was probably damaged and cracked on day 1. Either the earthquake shock wave cracked the suppression pool, called a torus, or the tsunami bent the entire nuclear plant on it's foundation, which cracked the torus.

And the massive radioactive release began on day 1. Day 1, when the fuel had not had time to decay to anything anywhere near safe levels.

This is my conclusion, for whatever it is worth.

And it is the best way I know to explain how the release could be 1/10 of what Chernobyl released. (Al though I believe the release was way below that.)

We won't know for sure for six months or more, when humans can examine the plants carefully.

Japan's Nuclear Nightmare

In spite of a dearth of information, here is how I see the Japanese nuclear situation.

When the U.S. DOE provided maps of the nuclear contamination http://blog.energy.gov/content/situation-japan I calculated the total release, getting 5.9 million curies (5,900,000). That is about 1/10 what Chernobyl released.

But, I found an error in my calculations - I had assumed point sources beneath the radiation detectors. Actually each detector received radiation from directly below it, and from the areas nearby, and from everywhere out to the horizon. When I calculated assuming a spread-out source, I got just 15,000 curies released. Which one is more accurate? That depends on how the U.S. DOE did it's calculations.

The DOE maps do not show what they detected - the airplanes flew several hundred feet up, and detected radiation at that level. They then put out maps showing how bad it is at knee high (one meter). Unless I can see how they re-calculated to get what they reported, I cannot be sure how accurate my calculations are.

Before I could get someone to check my modelling and my math, Japan's nuclear safety agency reported that the total release was 5,000,000 curies, or 1/10 of what Chernobyl released (check this, http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/news_images/pdf/ENGNEWS01_1304052023P.pdf , second page, red line near the bottom).

I was so disheartened that I made no new blog entries for 26 days.

BUT ... Japan also reports that the maximum dose to infant's thyroids will be less than 50 Rem. That is consistent with 15,000 curies, not with 5,000,000 curies.

Did Japan's nuclear safety agency make the same mistake that I made? Are they now afraid to correct their published error? I hope so.

All the information I have says, the release was less than 150,000 curies.

A nightmare; a disaster; but not a Chernobyl and not a catastrophe.

Not enough to cause more than about 40 deaths to members of the public.

The Fukushima 50 are a different matter. Their doses are quite high; they may have sacrificed their health, or even their lives, to keep the rest of us safe. May God bless them and keep them - and theirs.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Bad but not a Catastrophe

The Fukushima Fifty operators believe they may die from radiation exposure. Pray for them, and thank God for keeping them loyally on the job. Their efforts have kept the disaster from growing to a catastrophe.

And, child doses, even to the thyroid, is minimal. 900 infants were tested and are OK. My apology for optimism below, may have been premature. http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/aij/member/2011/earthquakereport41.pdf

The United States Department of Energy has flown over the Fukushima area and recorded the radiation. http://blog.energy.gov/content/situation-japan

Maximum doses outside the plant are less than 0.03 Rem per hour. That means 100 hours would get people 3 Rem, or 1000 hours would give 30 Rem.

30 Rem is where doctor's can test the blood, and find minor changes. Below that level, there are no short-term effects.

The radiation has dropped by a factor of ten in two days. Unless something major happens, the people will not ... repeat, not, get more that 30 Rem. No short-term effects.

That leaves cancer and other major illnesses.

The total release cannot be accurately estimated - yet. Japan and the utility, TEPCO, have not released enough information.

Nuclear reactors have several layers of defense against a release. The innermost one is the fuel itself. It is hard to melt this ceramic fuel. Second is a primary cooling system, with steel walls. Third that is a containment building, with steel lining and reinforced concrete strength. Fourth is a reactor building, which protects the containment.

But, the fuel and primary coolant system of three plants (1,2,3) are severely damaged or melted (and re-frozen). The containments of all three are functional, although one is damaged. Radiation within the fuel has decayed so much that it is highly unlikely that any containment will be further damaged. This means that the reactor fuel will stay in the reactors - all but about 1 percent, which has already been released. Plants one and three had hydrogen explosions outside the containment, but inside the reactor building.

And, the fuel in one spent nuclear fuel pool - for unit 4 - has been damaged and probably melted. This is the unit which had a hydrogen explosion, and it apparently happened while the fuel was melted. How could it melt? The best judgement on this side of the Pacific is, this spent fuel pool either splashed nearly dry during the Richter 9 earthquake, or more likely, it leaked due to the quake.

This hydrogen explosion drove fuel outside the nuclear plant, and may explain the hot spots of radiation scattered over two prefectures. If people stay away from these hot spots, they should be OK.

The rest of the reactors are reasonably safe.

Thanks to God and the loyalty of the Fukushima Fifty.

Saturday, March 26, 2011

Japan's Public Radiation Dose

Japanese infants are receiving far more radiation dose more than I have been expecting. I apologize for my earlier optimism.


According to a press release, http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/20110324p2a00m0na037000c.html, "The Nuclear Safety Commission of Japan (NSC) has made its first announcement on the estimated amount of radiation exposure in areas located around 20 and 30 kilometers from a quake- and tsunami-crippled nuclear plant in Fukushima Prefecture. The commission concluded the accumulated amount of radiation exposure per person was 500 millisieverts in areas within the "indoor standby zone" between 20 and 30 kilometers from the Fukushima No. 1 Nuclear Power Plant -- where people have been instructed by the government to remain indoors to avoid radiation risks -- over the course of 12 days following the March 11 disaster."

That is 50 Rem, for U.S. readers. The U.S. limit for dose to the skin is also 50 Rem. But, most of this dose is to the thyroid gland in the neck. And the calculation is for infants.

So, what does this mean?

Fortunately, the data indicates that there is little risk of effects at this exposure level. Unfortunately, there is not enough data to be definite about that. Thyroid doses are less dangerous than whole body doses, by about a factor of 20. http://www.oecd-nea.org/rp/chernobyl/c04.html But, infant doses are more dangerous, partly because they are growing quickly, and partly because they will live long enough to develop cancer or other diseases.

I wish that I could be more optimistic.

Chernobyl area residents got about 1.4 gray of dose, or 140 Rem. So that is about three times as much as Japanese infants near the plants have gotten - and the total they are likely to get is about what Chernobyl residents got.

That is far more than I have been expecting. I apologize for my earlier optimism.

But, these doses are calculated for infants, and the dose is to the thyroid. As best I can tell, no one else will get doses that high.

Therefore, cancers will be fewer than were caused by Chernobyl.

And it is still true that U.S. residents will receive far less dose. Washington State has a web page for airborne radiation, showing that, even with the releases from Japan, dose rates here are below the average annual rates from last year. http://www.doh.wa.gov/Topics/japan/monitor.htm

Sunday, March 20, 2011

What is Radioactivity?

Radioactivity may seem mysterious, but it has been part of our world at least since the Fall of Man.

When Marie Curie noted that uranium could make air conductive to electricity, she dubbed it "radioactive".

The more prosaic story that I was taught in grammar school was, a scientist found that uranium could make a radio click. Thus uranium made radio receivers active. Uranium is radio - active.

Many other naturally-occurring materials are radioactive as well.

Nuclear disaster and natural catastrophe

Science Daily http://www.sciencedaily.com/ has a linked article on the Japanese earthquake and the resulting nuclear disaster. http://www.newsdaily.com/stories/tre72g65z-us-japan-quake-meltdown-specialreport/

Except for one sentence, I agree with the article. The article says "As the first pictures of the destruction around the northern town of Sendai were beamed across Japan and around the world in the hours after the quake, authorities initially said they had safely shut down the four nuclear plants closest to the earthquake and tsunami zone.

It wasn't true. With no power to the plant's cooling system, the water that circulates around the fuel rods inside the six reactors at Fukushima had already begun to boil off. Within a few hours authorities declared a "nuclear emergency situation" at the plant. While no radiation release had been detected, they said, residents around the plant should evacuate."

It was 93 percent true. The control and safety rods entered the core, and fission went from 93 percent of design power to 0.01 percent power. Fission product decay remained at 7 percent power. That is how nuclear engineers define "safely shut down", so the statement was true. But, that 7 percent power continued to heat the fuel rods, and that heat needed to be carried away. It was carried away - safely - until fifteen minutes later when a 30 foot tsunami hit and wiped out the fuel supply for the emergency diesel generators.

Then, a natural disaster became a catastrophe. And the nuclear event became a disaster.

But, so far, the nuclear disaster has not become a catastrophe.

The current situation is:

The reactors at Fukushima Daini are recovering, with three of the four damaged and in a Level 3 event state. Those three reactors may, or may not, restart after damage is repaired. The fourth has a better chance

Three of the six reactors at Fukushima Daiichi are in serious trouble, with probably molten fuel in the cores; they are in Level 5 event states; the other three reactors were in an outage, and fuel was already removed from one when the quake struck. Fuel in then other three is safe. (see http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/news_images/pdf/ENGNEWS01_1300624909P.pdf)

I would be astounded if reactors # 1 , 2, or 3 ever operate again. Meanwhile, the fuel storage pool for #4 was dried out - either by sloshing during the quake or by a leak. The stored fuel overheated, the cladding reacted with remaining water, and there was a hydrogen explosion outside the containment which destroyed the reactor building. Water was restored by fire cannon and helicopter drop.

All six reactor cores are inside containments, and all six containments are functional, although unit #2 has suspected damage.

As long as the containments remain reasonably intact, Japanese citizens have no cause for fear - though they may be very fearful. Many times, smaller earthquakes than this cause deaths from heart attacks. The nuclear risks may also cause heart attacks. Preventing those fear-induced medical events is a major purpose of these posts.

For United Sates residents, there is no reason to fear. As noted below, the radioactivity within the fuel cores has decayed to less than 0.14 percent of full power, so even if something could somehow vaporize the cores and the containments, the result would be less than one in 50 of what Chernobyl was. And the evacuation to 12 miles makes it less than one in 1,000 of Chernobyl. That means, less than four cancers - worldwide.

As to the radioactivity now reaching U.S. shores, the level is below what we get when we eat bananas. That's right, bananas. Eating one banana shows up when nuclear professionals get our annual "whole body count". Every time they do this, I have the same count - one body :-). The "whole body count" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whole_body_counting ) measures the radioactive material in the human body. If too much potassium-40 shows up, the technician asks how many bananas we eat. Bananas have lots of potassium, some of which is radioactive potassium-40. The benefits of potassium far outweigh any negative effects of the radiation. So, eat your bananas, and take courage - this "radioactive cloud" is less than one billionth of what we should worry about.

Friday, March 18, 2011

Still Not a Chernobyl

Japan has raised the event level from four to a five on a scale of seven.

This is frightening many.

But, the releases so far are one billion times lower than Chernobyl, and the worst it can become now is one million times lower than Chernobyl.

As has been reported, the cloud reaching California is one billion times below the levels to create health risks.

Is anyone afraid of paint fumes from five miles away? This is about how frightened we should be.

Because the 160 plant employees have controlled the releases, and the containments are reasonably intact seven days after the reactors were shut down, the radioactive inventory is 0.2 percent of the original operating power level. So, if the fuel melts, then evaporates, and the containments vanish - even with this, the release will be less than 2 percent as bad as Chernobyl.

So, no more than 20 cancers could be caused in Japan, and no health effects in any other country.

Please pray for those 160 employees, and especially for the 50 employees at the worst-stricken nuclear plants.

The Great Beyond

Japan's nuclear situation is not - not - as horrible as the media report. As a nuclear safety engineer, I am appalled at the false statements by "experts" who do not understand. Check out blogs.nature.com/news/thegreatbeyond/2011/03/high_radiation_levels_seen_far.html

The maximum measured contamination is 17 millirem per hour, 30 kilometers from the nuclear palnts, or 500 times natural background - but, it will be reduced by decay, and total doses to people will not likely go past three chest x-rays.

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Fukushima Info

ScienceDaily has this info from Japan.

http://www.newsdaily.com/stories/tre72g65z-us-japan-quake-meltdown-specialreport/

Latest Japan Nuclear info

This http://www.youtube.com/user/NEINetwork youtube link has the latest from the Nuclear Energy Institute

Monday, March 14, 2011

My Nuclear Background

The below blogs may make me seem pro-nuclear.

It may help to know that I led a team which got four nuclear reactors shut down for safety reasons.

In the nuclear industry, safety is paramount.

It may also help to know that I was selected as Employee of the Month when we resolved the final safety issues and restarted one of the reactors.

Restarted one reactor after four years of safety and training upgrades. And four years of strain, stress, and extremely hard work.

And yes I am pro-nuclear, but only if the reactors are:
1. Well designed.
2. Well constructed.
3. Well maintained.
4. Well operated.
5. Well regulated.

Leave out any one, and I become anti-nuclear. And my career reflects that.

Nuclear Meltdowns

People are scared of the thought that the Japanese nuclear plants will melt down.

And rightly so.

Are is it rightly?

The following nuclear plants have melted down:
Chalk River, Canada, 1952 - result, plant is lost, no harm to the public
Windscale, Great Britain, 1957 - result; plant is post, large release, little harm to the public
Santa Susanna, California, 1959 - result; plant returned to operation, no harm to the public
Fermi 1 near Chicago, 1966 - result; plant is lost, no harm to the public
Three Mile Island, Pennsylvania, 1979 - result; plant is lost, no real release, no harm to the public

The only deadly accidents to date were at SL-1 in Idaho, where three operators died - but that was a reactivity excursion, not a meltdown; and at Chernobyl, where 31 people died and perhaps 4,000 people got thyroid cancer - but again this was a reactivity excursion, not a meltdown.

I pray that Japan is spared further death and despair. But nuclear meltdown, especially four days after the plants shut down, is not the horror that it has been portrayed.

http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/nei-backgrounders/myths--facts-about-nuclear-energy/myths--facts-about-safety/

No Radiation Deaths

Bye the Bye, the good doctor who has been on a national network, proclaiming 160 radiation poisonings inside the Japanese nuclear plant - is wrong, wrong, wrong.

One worker has had a dose above administrative limits, and still not up to legal limits. His blood work may show changes, but only blood samples can show this. No one has suffered radiation sickness, which requires about 200,000 miliRem. The maximum dose so far is less than 1 fourth of this. http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/radiation-in-perspective

The dose so far is about half what an airline pilot gets on one year.

But, doses at Units 2 and 3 have risen to 40 Rem per hour. And that is between the plants, so it is released to the atmosphere. People near the plant should be evacuated. http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/

Wait, they have been evacuated. As long as the 50 plant workers still on site are successful, no further public action is needed.

Not a Chernobyl

I have reviewed several reports on Chernobyl, and the Japan nuclear scare is no Chernobyl.

The radioactive material inside the reactors has decayed to less than 0.5 percent of the original operating power level. What remains is less than one part in 23 of what it was the day of the Richter 9.0 quake and tsunami.

Now, if the absolute worst accident occurs - if there is an explosion inside the containment that vaporizes most of the fuel and evaporates the containment - the result will be a release that is 1/23 as bad as Chernobyl. And even less than that, since the Japanese reactors were smaller than Chernobyl.

If the anti-nuclear estimate of 4,000 thyroid cancers from Chernobyl is accurate, there would be a maximum of 45 thyroid cancers in Japan.

Wait, less than that, because the reactors are on the coast, and the prevailing winds will blow the radioactive cloud harmlessly out to sea. At Chernobyl, the winds blew the cloud north over Sweden, and only then went back east over eastern Europe, Siberia, and then around the world. Since there is wind and snow in Japan, the radioactivity will be carried over the Pacific, and then be washed into the sea.

Which is just what my church has prayed for.

Saturday, February 26, 2011

Hi, I’m Greg Morgan, and The Wave at Paria shook my faith.

I grew up believing in evolution, and did not accept Jesus Christ as my Savior until I was 24. I struggled for several years with the intellectual challenge that my new faith presented, and had grown strong enough to testify about why I had become a young-earth creationist. Then, I saw a photo of “The Wave at Paria”. At first, I thought the Wave was a river bed between the rock layers, which I had taught did not exist. Was I a liar and a false witness? After two weeks of prayer and study I saw that the Wave has whirlpools and mud slides. The Wave is not a river bed between layers of rock, but rather was laid down as a large underwater mud slide. And since the U.S. Geological Society shows that the sand came from the Appalachian Mountains, 1250 miles away, the Wave is strong evidence for the global Flood of Noah’s day.

It took me 15 years after coming to faith in God, to go from being an evolutionist to a believer in Biblical creation - - Creation by our God, about 6,000 years ago. I hope that it takes others less time. I now teach and use photography to vividly show that the world we live on reflects God’s glory. The beautiful rocks present the evidence that there was a global flood. I try to honor God and show how science and the Bible do not contradict one another. Above all, I try to help others learn to “love the Lord with all your mind”.